The upcoming UFC 315 event on May 11, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada, features a highly anticipated women’s flyweight bout between former champion Alexa Grasso and rising contender Natalia Silva. This matchup holds significant implications for the division’s title picture.
Fighter Profiles
Alexa Grasso
| Attribute | Details |
|---|---|
| Record | 16-4-1 (MMA), 8-4-1 (UFC) |
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5’5″ (165 cm) |
| Reach | 66.1″ (168 cm) |
| Stance | Orthodox |
| Notable Wins | Valentina Shevchenko, Viviane Araujo |
| UFC Debut | 2016 |
| Last Fight | Loss to Valentina Shevchenko (UFC 306) |
Natalia Silva
| Attribute | Details |
|---|---|
| Record | 18-5-1 (MMA), 6-0 (UFC) |
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5’4″ (163 cm) |
| Reach | 65″ (165 cm) |
| Stance | Southpaw |
| Notable Wins | Jessica Andrade, Viviane Araujo |
| UFC Debut | 2022 |
| Last Fight | Win over Jessica Andrade (UFC Vegas 97) |
Recent Form Comparison
| Fighter | Last 5 Fights | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | vs. Valentina Shevchenko (Draw) | Split Draw |
| vs. Valentina Shevchenko (Win) | Submission (R4) | |
| vs. Viviane Araujo (Win) | Unanimous Decision | |
| vs. Joanne Calderwood (Win) | Submission (R1) | |
| vs. Maycee Barber (Win) | Unanimous Decision | |
| Natalia Silva | vs. Jessica Andrade (Win) | Unanimous Decision |
| vs. Viviane Araujo (Win) | Unanimous Decision | |
| vs. Andrea Lee (Win) | Unanimous Decision | |
| vs. Victoria Leonardo (Win) | KO (R1) | |
| vs. Tereza Bleda (Win) | KO (R3) |
Betting Odds
| Outcome | Odds (Decimal) | Odds (Fractional) |
|---|---|---|
| Natalia Silva | 1.54 | 8/15 |
| Alexa Grasso | 2.50 | 13/8 |
Note: Odds are subject to change as the fight approaches.
Read More: UFC 315: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena Fight Predictions
Key Factors to Consider
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Experience vs. Momentum: Grasso brings championship experience, while Silva is on a 12-fight win streak, including six UFC victories.
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Striking and Defense: Silva boasts the highest striking differential (+2.84) and takedown defense (91.7%) in UFC women’s flyweight history.
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Submission Threat: Silva has a higher submission rate (39%) compared to Grasso’s 13%, indicating a potential advantage on the ground.
-
Activity Level: Silva has been more active recently, fighting more frequently than Grasso, which could impact performance.
Prediction
| Fighter | Predicted Outcome | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|
| Natalia Silva | Win by Decision | High |
Given Silva’s current form, superior defensive stats, and momentum, she is favored to win this bout.
Future Implications
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Title Contention: A win for Silva could position her as the next title challenger in the flyweight division.
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Redemption Path: Grasso aims to re-establish herself as a top contender with a victory.
Conclusion
The Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva matchup at UFC 315 is a pivotal fight in the women’s flyweight division. With Silva entering as the favorite in the Grasso vs Silva odds, and Grasso seeking redemption, this bout promises high stakes and potential title implications. Stay tuned for what could be a defining moment in the division’s landscape.
