Shevchenko vs Fiorot Prediction

UFC 315: Shevchenko vs Fiorot Prediction, Betting Odds & Analysis

The co-main event of UFC 315 on May 11, 2025, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada, features a highly anticipated women’s flyweight title fight between reigning champion Valentina Shevchenko and top contender Manon Fiorot. This bout is generating significant attention among fans and bettors alike.

Match Details

Event UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Date May 11, 2025
Location Bell Centre, Montreal, Canada
Division Women’s Flyweight (125 lbs)
Title UFC Women’s Flyweight Championship
Champion Valentina Shevchenko
Challenger Manon Fiorot

Fighter Profiles

Valentina Shevchenko (“Bullet”)

  • Record: 24-4-1 (MMA), 13-3-1 (UFC)

  • Age: 36

  • Nationality: Kyrgyzstan

  • Fighting Style: Muay Thai, Judo

  • Recent Performance: Reclaimed the flyweight title with a unanimous decision over Alexa Grasso at UFC 306 in September 2024.

  • Strengths: Precise counter-striking, elite grappling, and exceptional fight IQ.

Read More: ​UFC 315 Fight Card: Full Lineup, Predictions & Breakdown

Manon Fiorot (“The Beast”)

  • Record: 12-1 (MMA), 7-0 (UFC)

  • Age: 35

  • Nationality: France

  • Fighting Style: Karate, Kickboxing

  • Recent Performance: Secured unanimous decision victories over Erin Blanchfield and Rose Namajunas.

  • Strengths: High-volume striking, excellent takedown defense, and relentless pace.

Betting Odds

Fighter Opening Odds Current Odds
Valentina Shevchenko +100 +104
Manon Fiorot -120 -124

Odds are subject to change as the fight approaches.

Shevchenko vs Fiorot Analysis

Striking

  • Shevchenko: Known for her precise counter-striking and ability to control distance. She averages 3.16 significant strikes per minute.

  • Fiorot: A high-output striker, averaging 6.26 significant strikes per minute, nearly double that of Shevchenko.

Grappling

  • Shevchenko: Averages 2.76 takedowns per 15 minutes with a black belt in Judo.

  • Fiorot: Boasts a 93% takedown defense rate, effectively neutralizing opponents’ grappling attempts.

Experience

  • Shevchenko: A seasoned champion with multiple title defenses and experience in five-round championship bouts.

  • Fiorot: While undefeated in the UFC, this will be her first title fight, presenting a new level of competition.

Shevchenko vs Fiorot Prediction

Category Advantage
Striking Volume Fiorot
Striking Accuracy Shevchenko
Grappling Shevchenko
Takedown Defense Fiorot
Experience Shevchenko

Prediction: While Fiorot presents a formidable challenge with her striking volume and takedown defense, Shevchenko’s experience, precision, and grappling prowess give her a slight edge. Expect a closely contested battle, potentially going the distance.

Predicted Outcome: Shevchenko via Split Decision

Future Implications

  • Shevchenko Victory: A win could set up a potential superfight against strawweight champion Zhang Weili, further cementing her legacy.

  • Fiorot Victory: Would make her the first French UFC champion, opening doors for high-profile title defenses in Europe.

Conclusion

The Shevchenko vs Fiorot matchup at UFC 315 is a clash of elite fighters with contrasting styles. Bettors should consider the Shevchenko vs Fiorot betting odds and analyze each fighter’s strengths and weaknesses. While Fiorot’s striking volume is impressive, Shevchenko’s experience and well-rounded skill set make her a formidable opponent.

Final Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko retains her title via split decision.

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